Tropical Storm Rafael Strengthens as it Nears Jamaica’s Southern Coastline

KINGSTON, Jamaica — Tropical Storm Rafael continues to intensify as it approaches Jamaica’s southern coastline, the Meteorological Service of Jamaica reported in its 5 a.m. bulletin on Tuesday.

The storm’s center was located approximately 170 kilometers (105 miles) southwest of Kingston, 88 kilometers (55 miles) south of Treasure Beach, and 130 kilometers (80 miles) southeast of Negril Point as of 4 a.m.

Rafael is currently moving northwest at a speed of 20 km/h (13 mph) and is expected to maintain a northwest trajectory over the next few days. The storm is forecast to pass close to Jamaica on Tuesday morning, then approach the Cayman Islands by Tuesday night, and western Cuba by Wednesday.

The storm’s maximum sustained winds have reached 95 km/h (60 mph) with higher gusts, and the weather authority warns that Rafael could intensify rapidly over the next 24 to 36 hours, potentially reaching hurricane strength as it nears the Cayman Islands and then strengthens further before its anticipated landfall in Cuba. Tropical storm-force winds currently extend up to 165 kilometers (105 miles) from the storm’s center.

With Rafael’s approach, Jamaica is expected to experience periods of heavy rainfall ranging from 75 to 150 millimeters (three to six inches) on Tuesday. These rains could lead to flash flooding in flood-prone areas across the island, with higher rainfall amounts likely in elevated areas and increased risk of landslides in vulnerable regions. Coastal flooding and strong gusty winds reaching tropical storm force are also anticipated.

The Meteorological Service advises small craft operators to remain in safe harbor until all storm warnings are lifted and sea conditions have returned to normal.